Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health

Background: Rising rates of young people Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET) in the UK have recently coincided with declining youth physical and mental health but no study has asked whether this reflects a growing proportion of young people with health problems (prevalence) or those with health problems becoming more likely to be NEET (penalty). Methods: Using 15 years of Understanding Society data (2009-23), we analysed 15,242 respondents aged 16-24 (66,160 observations). We employed three complementary approaches: descriptive trends, Blinder-Oaxaca-Kitagawa (BO) probit decomposition comparing 2009-2013 and 2019-2023 against a 2014-2018 reference period, and fixed-effects (FE) Poisson models with lagged health status. Exposures included self-reported health conditions or disability (SRHD), psychological distress , diagnosed conditions and socio-demographic factors. Findings: NEET rates were lowest in 2014-18 (10.5-11.5%) and higher in 2009-13 (12-15%) and 2019-23 (15-16%). Higher prevalence of SRHD, psychological distress, diagnosed depression and multimorbidity explained changes in NEET prevalence across both the 2009-13 to 2014-2018 and 2014-18 to 2019-23 periods. No change in penalty was observed for any health variable across periods, except for an increase in the penalty for SRHD between the 2009-13 to 2014-18 periods. Interpretation: Rising NEET rates among UK youth are driven largely by more young people having physical and psychological ill health. Whilst labour market and education accommodations remain important, reducing NEET rates will require reversing the decline in youth health, not just accommodating it.

Background We examined whether two key housing quality indicators, energy efficiency and household overcrowding, were associated with lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) hospital admissions in infants. Methods We used a cohort of all singleton births in Scotland 2010-2012, created through linked vital statistics and health data. LRTI admissions were characterised in hospital records. Overcrowding (defined using the national room standard) and median postcode-level energy efficiency were defined using maternal Census and postcode-level Energy Performance Certificate data linked to the cohort, respectively. We used logistic regression to model the odds of at least one infant LRTI admission. Results The cohort included 136,123 infants of whom 4.0% had at least one LRTI admission. Overcrowding was more common among infants of younger mothers and those in rented housing. Energy efficiency was lower among infants of older mothers, living in owner occupied homes, in less deprived areas. Compared with infants living in homes with excess rooms (under-occupied housing), those whose homes were below, or met, the minimum room standard had higher odds of LRTI admission (adjusted odds ratio 1.07, 95% CI 0.98-1.17; 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17, respectively). Postcode-level energy efficiency was not associated with LRTI admission odds. Conclusion Overcrowding was more common in socioeconomically disadvantaged households and associated with increased risk of LRTI admission in infancy. Lower energy efficiency was associated with factors commonly linked to socioeconomic advantage and was not associated with LRTI admissions. Improving access to housing with adequate living space may reduce the burden of LRTIs in early life.

Background: High rates of young people who are not in education, employment or training (NEET) are a major societal concern in the UK. Whilst other studies have highlighted that adolescent health can predict NEET status in young adulthood, robust and recent longitudinal evidence remains limited. Methods: This study used data from the Millennium Cohort Study, a longitudinal study of people born in the UK in the early 2000s, to estimate the extent to which mental health conditions, physical health conditions and health behaviours during adolescence predict NEET status in early adulthood (median age: 23). Co-occurrence of exposures was also considered and population attributable fractions were calculated to account for differences in exposure prevalence. Results: Among 8,374 young people, 12.5% were NEET at age 23; approximately two thirds were seeking work and one third were economically inactive. Estimates adjusted for demographic factors indicated that multiple health exposures increased risk of being NEET at age 23, with mental health conditions predicting greater risk than physical health conditions and health behaviours. For instance, a longstanding mental health condition more than doubled the risk of being NEET (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 2.39, 95% CIs = 1.85, 3.09), while autism (aRR = 3.60, 95% CIs = 2.69, 4.83) and ADHD (aRR = 3.25, 95% CIs = 2.38, 4.44) more than tripled the risk. A greater number of reported adolescent mental health conditions was associated with greater risk of being NEET in young adulthood. Obesity predicted being NEET at age 23 (aRR = 1.54, 95% CIs = 1.18, 2.01) and obesity accompanied by a mental health condition further increased risk (aRR = 2.01, 95% CIs = 1.38, 2.93). Follow-up analyses indicated that associations between adolescent mental health and young adult NEET status were more pronounced for females than males and for the economically inactive than those seeking work. Conclusions: Findings indicate that adolescent health, especially mental health, strongly predicts being NEET in early adulthood. Early, integrated health and education interventions may help reduce later educational and labour market disengagement.

Background: Mental health difficulties increase risk of justice system contacts, and justice involvement increases risk of and exacerbates existing mental health difficulties. However, discrimination influences both whether children's needs are supported and the likelihood of justice system contacts. Examining patterning in Special Educational Needs and Disability (SEND) provision for Social, Emotional and Mental Health (SEMH) needs and youth justice contacts may identify escalation pathways and opportunities for equitable support. Methods: In partnership with young people and community stakeholders, we analysed population-level linked school and police administrative data for 3.7m children (born 1997-2003) who attended state schools in England. We examined rates, timing and risk ratios for the sequencing of SEND-for-SEMH and youth justice contacts. Results: Children ever recorded with SEND-for-SEMH had markedly elevated rates of youth justice contact, and vice versa. First justice contacts clustered between ages 14-16, though Black Caribbean, Mixed White-Black Caribbean, Romani, and Irish Traveller boys experienced steeper increases from age 12. Most racially and ethnically minoritised boys, alongside Romani and Irish Traveller girls, were significantly more likely than White British boys to have youth justice contacts before/without SEND-for-SEMH. Following SEND-for-SEMH, racially and ethnically minoritised boys and Irish Traveller girls were at greater risk of contacts. Conclusions: Findings reveal intersectional discrimination in criminalisation of children and shed light on the complex bi-directional relationship between identified mental health need and youth justice contacts. A healing-centred, public health, multi-agency approach is urgently required to break the vicious cycle between unmet mental health need and youth justice system contacts.

Objectives The association between occupational physical activity (OPA) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) may depend on how OPA is classified. This study examined the association between OPA and incident CVD using individual level and occupational group level classifications, and assessed whether factors contributing to attenuation differed. Methods A total of 137,592 employed UK Biobank participants aged 40 to 69 years who were free of CVD at baseline were included. OPA was classified using (i) individual level self reported physical activity at work and (ii) occupational group level two digit Standard Occupational Classification. Associations with incident CVD were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Attenuation of associations by sociodemographic, lifestyle, health, occupational and psychosocial factors was assessed using univariate adjustments and Heller's coefficient. Results During 1,656,378 person-years of follow up (median 12.6 years), 10,465 incident CVD events occurred. The association between OPA and CVD differed markedly according to exposure classification. High individual level self reported OPA was associated with increased CVD incidence after full adjustment [hazard ratio (HR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10 to 1.27]. In contrast, no association was observed when OPA was classified at the occupational-group level using Standard Occupational Classification groupings (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.06). Sociodemographic and health factors accounted for the greatest attenuation across both classifications, whereas psychosocial factors contributed primarily to associations based on individual-level self-reported OPA. Conclusions The association between occupational physical activity and incident cardiovascular disease differed substantially according to how OPA was classified. These findings highlight exposure classification as a critical consideration when interpreting evidence on the physical activity paradox.

Homicide is a leading cause of preventable death in the United States and disproportionately affects Black and Indigenous communities. Structural racism and neighborhood disinvestment are central drivers of these disparities, yet national evidence on whether the association between neighborhood opportunity and homicide risk varies by race/ethnicity remains limited. Using 2020 data from the restricted-use National Violent Death Reporting System linked to Child Opportunity Index (COI 3.0) scores and Census population denominators across 30,077 ZIP codes in 48 states, we estimated age-adjusted log-linked generalized linear models to examine racial/ethnic disparities in homicide rates and their interaction with neighborhood opportunity. Black men experienced homicide rates nearly 20 times those of White men; Indigenous men experienced rates approximately 6 times higher. Higher neighborhood opportunity was independently associated with lower homicide risk across all groups and explained 43-59% of excess risk for Black and Indigenous individuals. Crucially, the association between neighborhood opportunity and homicide was nonlinear and significantly heterogeneous by race/ethnicity, with the steepest rate reductions occurring at the lowest opportunity levels for Black and Indigenous men. These findings suggest that place-based investments in severely deprived communities may yield the greatest reductions in homicide and racial/ethnic health inequities.

Objective We characterized social determinants of health (SDOH) in U.S. children who ever and never had Long COVID. Methods We used cross-sectional data from the 2022-2023 National Health Interview Survey (N=14,993 children 0-17 years). Parents reported child- and household-level information. Long COVID was defined as ever experiencing symptoms lasting [&ge;]3 months that were not present prior to having COVID-19. We produced weighted prevalence estimates by Long COVID status for 3 SDOH domains (Social and Community Context, Healthcare Access and Quality, and Economic Stability) and used Rao-Scott chi-squared tests to examine differences. Results In Social and Community Context, children who ever had Long COVID more often resided in single parent households (33.2% vs. 20.3%; p<0.0001), with someone with severe depression or mental illness (18.5% vs. 8.3%; p<0.0001) or substance abuse (16.7% vs. 8.1%; p<0.0001) or had a lifetime of being disparaged by adults in the home (9.2% vs. 3.9%; p=0.0009). In Healthcare Access and Quality, children who ever had Long COVID more often had public insurance (e.g., Medicaid) (51.3% vs. 41.6%; p=0.02), higher healthcare use, and difficulty paying medical bills (23.2% vs. 12.2%; p<0.0001). In Economic Stability, children who ever had Long COVID had lower parental education, lower food security, and higher participation in social safety net programs (p<0.01 for all comparisons). Conclusion Children who ever had Long COVID more frequently experienced adverse SDOH compared to their peers who never had Long COVID. These findings may help identify children who may benefit from additional resources related to their Long COVID care.

Urban mobility may provide insight into population health by capturing how residents connect to services, resources, and urban systems. This is relevant for communities facing higher disease burden and limited resources, where reduced connectivity may signal barriers to care, healthy environments, and participation. Mobility patterns are furthermore shaped by socioeconomic position, housing, environmental quality, facilities access, lifestyle patterns, and population composition. Mobility-health associations may therefore reflect underlying social and environmental disadvantage rather than mobility itself, risking misdirected public-health policy responses. This ecological cross-sectional study examined associations between aggregated mobile phone-based mobility and health outcomes in The Hague, Netherlands, from January-July 2019. Mobile phone mobility was measured as mean outgoing mobility distance across eight regions. Contextual and health indicators were available at neighbourhood-level and were aggregated or linked to regions where required. Health outcomes were operationalised as indicators of disease burden, including cardiometabolic medication prescriptions, polypharmacy, and a syndemic-based measure of interacting health conditions. Contextual domains were selected using spatial clustering and ordinary least squares models, after which residual mobility-health associations were assessed. Outgoing mobility varied across regions and was strongly patterned by contextual factors. Lifestyle, housing, physical environment, and income accounted for 73.2% of variance in outgoing mobility. After adjustment, residual mobility showed weak, non-significant associations with cardiometabolic medication prescription, polypharmacy, and the syndemic-based measure. Sensitivity analyses supported these findings. Aggregated mobility should not be interpreted as a straightforward independent determinant of health. Instead, it appears to function as an integrative marker of urban context, spatial structure, and population composition.

Seasonal Influenza and COVID-19 vaccination programmes are critical for reducing morbidity and mortality in older adults, yet uptake remains uneven across populations. We aimed to profile vaccination attitudes and examine predictors of COVID-19/influenza vaccination uptake among a UK participatory surveillance system - FluSurvey. We analysed FluSurvey data from participants aged [&ge;]65 years who were eligible for both vaccines in the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 Autumn - Winter seasonal campaigns. Descriptive analyses examined self-reported attitudes to influenza vaccination. Logistic regression examined factors (age, sex, socioeconomic status, education, employment, transport, smoking and chronic conditions) associated with influenza and COVID-19 vaccination uptake in each season, adjusting for confounders. Belonging to a risk group and reducing risk of influenza were frequently reported motivations for influenza vaccination, while building natural immunity and concerns around safety and adverse effects were frequently reported barriers. Individuals vaccinated against COVID-19 were more likely to receive an influenza vaccination (aOR2023-2024=13.90 [9.28-21.17]; aOR2024-2025=8.54 [5.82-12.60]), and vice-versa (aOR2023-2024=13.91 [9.30-21.19]; aOR2024-2025=8.52 [5.81-12.58]). Lower educational attainment was associated with lower odds of COVID-19 vaccination (aOR2023-2024=0.59 [0.45-0.78], aOR2024-2025: 0.56 [0.39-0.79]). Other results were weaker or demonstrated variation by season. Our findings highlight recent attitudes and barriers to influenza and COVID-19 vaccination among the FluSurvey cohort, which may inform approaches to improve vaccination coverage in the population.

Background: Young people who are Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET) represent a major public health and societal challenge. Existing evidence has linked adolescent mental health problems and health risk behaviours to NEET but has largely treated NEET as a static, rather than longitudinal outcome and overlooked the combined effects of multiple health conditions. Methods: Using data from 5,262 participants born between 1993 and 2000 in the UK Household Longitudinal Study, this study examined the independent and combined associations of adolescent mental health problems (emotional symptoms, conduct problems, hyperactivity) and health risk behaviours (regular smoking, drug use, alcohol use, and high social media use) with ever-NEET status, NEET chronicity, and NEET trajectories from ages 16 to 24, using modified Poisson, proportional odds, and multilevel logistic regression models, respectively. Findings: All mental health problems were associated with ever-NEET status (RRs 1.24-1.27) and NEET chronicity (ORs 1.41-1.98); emotional symptoms showed a widening disadvantage with age, while the disadvantages associated with conduct problems and hyperactivity remained stable. Among health risk behaviours, regular smoking showed the strongest and most persistent relationships with NEET (ever-NEET RR 1.54; chronicity OR 1.64); drug use was related to ever-NEET status (RR 1.37) and an increasing disadvantage after age 21-22, while alcohol use and social media use showed limited associations. NEET risk generally increased with the number of co-occurring conditions, but for recurrent NEET (three or more occasions), risk was only elevated at three or more co-occurring conditions. Interpretation: Adolescent health exposures were associated with NEET risk during ages 16-24, but the strength and pattern varied by exposure and outcome, offering potential insights into the timing and emphasis of any interventions.

Adverse experiences in childhood (AEs) typically refer to undesirable events, including child maltreatment and household challenges. Various survey measures and linked routine data in the Born in Bradford Birth Cohort (BiB) datasets can provide a contemporary understanding of the distribution of AEs in the population and the factors related to their occurrence. This study aimed to identify relevant survey data on AEs collected from BiB families and to summarise the prevalence of AEs from birth to early adolescence (ages 12-15) among BiB children. We included BiB children who participated in the follow-ups - Growing Up (GUp, n=5253) and Age of Wonder (AoW, n=2662). Four AEs were identified - parental mental illness, parental substance use, children not living with both parents in the same home, and being bullied by peers. The survey data included 1) health, substance use, living arrangements, and children's bullying experience reported by parent(s) at baseline (2007-2011, around birth) and/or GUp (2017-2022, during mid-childhood), and 2) bullying experience and living arrangements self-reported by children at AoW (2022-2024, during early adolescence). Additionally, we included parents' primary care records regarding any mental illness or substance use. Overall, 3371 (64.2%) children experienced at least one of the four AEs between birth and early adolescence. The most common AE was parental mental illness, whereas parental substance use was the least common. Children across all sociodemographic groups experienced AEs. Asian children, or those whose mothers were not materially deprived, appeared less likely to experience AEs. Conversely, children of White or Mixed ethnicities, or whose mothers were materially deprived, were more likely to experience AEs. Consistent with similar studies, our findings show that AEs are widespread but disproportionately affect certain sociodemographic subgroups among BiB children. These disparities can be reduced by early-years policies that provide practical family support, guided by continuously collected AE data.

Objectives: To examine how self-reported physical activity and walking pace in UK healthcare workers differ ethnicity, migration status, and job role. Design: Prospective cohort study with 6 waves of data collection between 2020 and 2025, analysed using multi-level logistic regression, informed by the UK REACH patient and professional advisory group. Setting: Healthcare settings across the UK. The United Kingdom Research study into Ethnicity And COVID-19 outcomes in Healthcare workers (UK-REACH) cohort. Participants: 18,721 healthcare workers employed in the UK: 28.2% Allied Health Professionals; 75% female; 34% from ethnic minority backgrounds; and 32% born overseas. Main outcome measures: Physical activity and walking pace, as measured by the General Practice Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPPAQ). A Total Physical Activity score, and a separate Exercise and Cycling score excluding occupational physical activity were derived. Results: Walking pace and physical activity varied significantly by ethnicity, migration status and job role. Compared to White UK-born staff, slower walking pace was reported in ethnic minority staff, with differences greater in staff born overseas (e.g. Asian UK (aOR 0.63, 95%CI 0.56 to 0.71, p<0.001), Asian overseas (aOR 0.38, 95%CI 0.35 to 0.42, p<0.001)). Compared to White UK-born staff, lower odds of reporting being physically active were reported in multiple ethnic groups. Differences were larger for Exercise and Cycling, indicating that occupational physical activity accounted for a large proportion of total physical activity in several groups (e.g. Total Physical Activity: Asian overseas-born (aOR 0.79, 95%CI 0.72 to 0.87, p<0.001); Exercise and Cycling: Asian overseas-born (aOR 0.61, 95%CI 0.56 to 0.67, p=<0.001). Compared toMedicalstaff, Nursing and Midwifery staff, Pharmacy staff, Dental staff, Other staff, and Healthcare Scientists hadsignificantly lower odds of reporting being physically active. Ambulance staff had higher odds of reporting being physically active when using the Total Physical Activity score (aOR 1.64, 95%CI 1.37 to 1.97 p<0.001), but lower odds for Exercise and Cycling (aOR 0.61 95%CI 0.53 to 0.72, p<0.001). Conclusions: Self-reported physical activity and walking pace vary significantly in UK healthcare workers, by ethnicity, migration status, and job role. Our findings have important implications for understanding workforce health and ethnic health inequalities.

Background Child marriage/cohabitation before 18 years of age disproportionately affects girls worldwide, but its impacts on mental health are poorly understood. Existing research is mostly cross-sectional, hence unable to estimate causal impacts or longer-term outcomes of child marriage. Methods We analysed longitudinal cohort data across Ethiopia, India, Peru, and Vietnam from Young Lives to investigate the relationship between child marriage/cohabitation and life satisfaction and emotional symptoms. We used linear regression, difference-in-differences estimation (DiD), and propensity score matching (PSM) to examine short and longer-term impacts from age 19 to 29. Findings Across countries 5% (Peru) to 20% (India) of girls were child brides. Child marriage/cohabitation predicted lower life satisfaction -- pooled estimates at age 19 (-0.25 [95%CI=0.40,-0.10]), across 19-29 (-0.22 [95%CI=-0.32,-0.13]), and heterogeneity estimates suggest consistently negative impacts across countries. However, child brides have lower life satisfaction at age 8 even before marriage occurs, likely due to pre-existing disadvantages such as poverty that increase child marriage likelihood. DiD and PSM analyses confirm that most of the differences are due to pre-existing vulnerability and there is a small additional impact of child marriage on worse life satisfaction at age 19 (pooled matched estimate -0.09 [95%CI=-0.19, 0.00]). No differences in emotional symptoms were observed, nor any differences by age of marriage within the child-married sample. Interpretation Child brides have lower life satisfaction from childhood through to early adulthood, which is mostly explained by prior disadvantages and risk factors, with a small additional impact of child marriage itself.

Maternal depressive symptoms are a major public health concern in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), yet evidence on their relationship with early childhood development (ECD) remains mixed. This study examined the association between maternal depressive symptoms and ECD outcomes during infancy and toddlerhood, and whether household composition moderated these associations. Additionally, we examined whether child stimulation activities were associated with ECD outcomes across both timepoints. We analysed data from 769 mother-child dyads drawn from a cluster-randomised controlled trial conducted in the Cajamarca region of Peru. Maternal depressive symptoms were assessed during infancy (approximately 5 months) using the DASS-21 depression subscale. Child development was assessed during infancy (mean age 5.2 months) using the CREDI and during toddlerhood (mean age 28.7 months) using the GSED Long Form. Associations were examined using linear regression models, adjusting for demographic, household, social, and caregiving covariates. Effect modification by number of siblings under 6 years and number of adults in the household was assessed. Approximately one in six mothers (17.4%) reported any depressive symptoms. Maternal depressive symptoms were neither associated with child development outcomes in infancy (adjusted {beta} = 0.01, 95% CI [-0.01, 0.01]) nor in toddlerhood (adjusted {beta} = -0.01, 95% CI [-0.07, 0.05]). No significant moderation was observed for either household composition variable. Among the covariates examined in the adjusted models, child stimulation activities showed the strongest independent association with child development at both timepoints, regardless of maternal depressive symptom status. We found no evidence that maternal depressive symptoms were associated with child development during infancy or toddlerhood, and household composition did not moderate these associations. These findings suggest that the relationship between maternal depressive symptoms and early child development may be more complex than previously assumed in this rural Andean context. However, the absence of an association in this study should not be interpreted as evidence that maternal depressive symptoms are unimportant, as previous research has documented important effects on maternal wellbeing, family functioning, and child outcomes.

Objective: To examine if food insecurity moderates the relationship between rurality and mental health outcomes (suicide mortality, poor mental health days, frequent mental distress) and to assess if these effects vary across U.S. Census divisions. Methods: This county-level (n=2,397) cross-sectional study used OLS and spatial error regression to analyze public data from sources including the County Health Rankings and USDA. We modeled suicide mortality, poor mental health days, and frequent mental distress as functions of the Index of Relative Rurality (IRR) and food insecurity, controlling for median income and provider rates. The suicide model was also tested across nine U.S. Census divisions. Results: Baseline models revealed a paradox: rurality was a direct risk factor for suicide (B=0.400) but protective for poor mental health days (B=-0.224). The national multivariable model revealed a significant, positive rurality-food insecurity interaction for suicide mortality (B=0.861), indicating a synergistic risk. This interaction was not significant for general mental distress, which was more strongly predicted by income and food insecurity. Regional analysis confirmed the suicide interaction was potent in five divisions, including the Pacific (B=3.048) and Mountain (B=1.712) , but absent in others (e.g., South Atlantic). Conclusions: The drivers of suicide are distinct from those of general mental distress and are geographically heterogeneous. The interaction of rurality and food insecurity creates a compounded risk for suicide. Suicide prevention must be regionally-tailored and address structural inequalities, such as food insecurity, alongside clinical care.

Background Childhood adversity can affect propensity to risk-taking behaviors. We aim to investigate the relation between childhood adversity and risk-taking behaviors in youth using emergency room (ER) admissions and survey data. Method Using the DANLIFE study, we included 1.2 million Danes. Individuals were assigned into five groups based on childhood adversity exposure from ages 0 to 15 years. We applied survival analyses on repeated outcomes to model ER-admissions due to substances, violence and unintentional injury in the full cohort between ages 16 and 24. We applied logistic regression models to weighted survey data on frequent binge drinking, cannabis use, drug use, and unsafe sex in a nested subsample of 34,064 18 year olds from the Danish National Birth Cohort. Results The high adversity group was at highest risk of ER-admissions due to substances (HR=3.27, 95% CI [3.10, 3.46]), violence (HR=2.67, 95% CI [2.58, 2.76]) and unintentional injuries (HR=1.30, 95% CI [1.28, 1.33]). In the nested subsample, the high adversity was at highest risk of cannabis use (OR=1.59, 95% CI [1.21, 2.09]), drug use (OR=2.44, 95% CI [1.71, 3.49]) and unsafe sex (OR=1.72, 95% CI [1.34, 2.22]), but at lower risk of frequent binge drinking (OR=0.57, 95% CI [0.37, 0.87]). Conclusion These findings highlight how childhood adversity is associated with increased engagement in and harm from risk-taking behaviors. To prevent inequalities in health in youth, there is a need for interventions and policies that promote child welfare, as well as targeted support for youth with harmful behavioral patterns.

Childhood peer victimization is increasingly recognized as an adverse childhood experience (ACE) with long-term consequences for population health. Most existing research treats bullying as a binary exposure, obscuring the dose-response mechanisms through which cumulative victimization generates escalating health risks. This methodological gap is particularly consequential for prevention, and evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region remains systematically sparse. This study conducts a national dose-response analysis of childhood bullying and adult health outcomes in Saudi Arabia using the WHO Adverse Childhood Experiences International Questionnaire (ACE-IQ), administered to a nationally representative sample of 10,156 adults by the King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC) and the National Family Safety Program (NFSP), Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs (2013). We conducted a cross-sectional secondary analysis examining associations between bullying frequency and five adult health outcomes: physician-diagnosed anxiety disorder, suicidal ideation, sleep disturbance, tobacco smoking, and substance use. The analytical sample comprised 4,632 adults reporting any childhood peer victimization. Binary logistic regression models adjusted for socioeconomic status, gender, age cohort, parental supervision, and family structure were estimated separately for each outcome. Three pre-specified hypotheses were tested: (H1) any bullying exposure is associated with higher odds of adverse adult health outcomes; (H2) increasing frequency follows a dose-response gradient; and (H3) associations are amplified among socioeconomically disadvantaged respondents and attenuated among those reporting higher parental attention. A consistent dose-response gradient was observed. Frequent victims showed substantially higher adjusted odds of tobacco smoking (OR = 6.55, 95% CI 5.81-7.32) and substance use (OR = 2.71, 95% CI 2.26-3.31) compared to those never bullied. Internalizing outcomes showed significant gradients for anxiety disorder (OR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.86) and sleep disturbance (OR = 0.39, 95% CI 0.20-0.76). Religion-targeted verbal victimization was the strongest independent predictor of suicidal ideation (OR = 3.01, 95% CI 1.83-4.97) and substance use (OR = 3.24, 95% CI 1.92-5.46), independent of bullying frequency. Bullying-health associations were significantly amplified among socioeconomically disadvantaged respondents, consistent with fundamental cause theory. Parental supervision was protective against substance use (OR = 0.45, 95% CI 0.30-0.67) but showed a paradoxical positive association with suicidal ideation, interpreted as a reactive parenting effect in the cross-sectional design. These findings establish childhood bullying as a cumulative, graded public health risk whose consequences are amplified by structural disadvantage. Prevention strategies must extend beyond school-level programs to address structural inequalities and integrate family-based and community-level protective factors. This study contributes population-level ACE evidence from the underrepresented GCC region and provides a foundation for integrating bullying prevention into Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 national health agenda.

Objectives Increased risk of childhood obesity up to age six years has been linked to higher maternal allostatic load (AL), the physical manifestation of repeated stress exposure. However, associations are less evident when using psychological stress indicators, and data mainly come from higher income countries. Using psychological and physiological stress markers, this study evaluates maternal stress exposures and child risk of obesity in Peruvian women and their children, ages 5 to 15 years, living in a disadvantaged urban area. Methods Maternal stress exposures included mental distress (12-item General Health Questionnaire scores of 5+ for moderate/high and <5 for no/low distress) and AL (lower/moderate/higher AL assessed from Latent Profile Analysis of hair cortisol, BMI, waist circumference, systolic and diastolic blood pressure). Child outcomes included BMI-for-age and waist circumference-for-age z scores (BAZ and WCAZ). Linear regression analyses were conducted, adjusting for confounders and reported as coefficients and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results Versus mothers with no/low distress, those with moderate/high distress had children with 0.40 (95% CI: -0.66,-0.13) and 0.32 lower (-0.53,-0.11) child BAZ and WCAZ respectively. Versus lower AL mothers, moderate AL mothers had children with 1.15 (0.41,1.88) and 0.74 (0.20,1.28) greater BAZ and WCAZ while higher AL mothers had children with 1.43 (0.95,1.92) and 0.91 (0.50,1.32) greater BAZ and WCAZ respectively. Conclusions Children of mothers with higher AL were at greater risk of overweight or obesity, which may add to the rising burdens of non-communicable diseases in resource-constrained settings as well as the related social, economic, and public health costs.

Background: Smoking inequalities by socioeconomic status have widened consistently in Germany, but sex-specific trends after 2013 and inequalities in daily cigarette consumption among smokers (intensity) are unknown. We analyzed trends in absolute and relative socioeconomic inequalities in smoking prevalence and intensity among German adults across three decades. Methods: We used 14 waves (1998-2024) of population-representative cross-sectional data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to estimate sex-specific trends in smoking prevalence and intensity in adults aged 25-64. Inequalities were quantified across strata of education, occupation, and equivalized household income using the absolute and relative concentration index with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals. Results: Overall smoking prevalence declined from 35.05% (CI: [33.90%, 36.20%] in 1998 to 22.19% (CI: [21.15%, 23.24%]) in 2024, and mean intensity from 17.49 (CI: [17.09,17.90]) to 13.33 (CI: [12.88, 13.79]) cigarettes/day. Over this period sex-differences in both outcomes narrowed almost completely. Absolute and relative inequalities in smoking prevalence widened across all SES dimensions, particularly for education and occupation. By 2024, inequalities were larger among women than men driven by a stagnating or rising smoking prevalence among low-SES women at least until 2018 alongside continued declines in higher-SES women and for men. Inequalities in smoking intensity, particularly related to income, were generally smaller than those in prevalence. Conclusion: Socioeconomic smoking inequalities in Germany widened from 1998 to 2024 primarily driven by reductions among higher-SES groups and increases in low-SES women. However, recent reductions in low-SES women may indicate a new phase in the smoking epidemic. Health equity considerations should be integrated into a targeted German tobacco control strategy.

Background Literature investigating mediation of the association between child abuse and dementia has largely considered composite adverse childhood experience scores rather than individual adverse experiences, despite evidence that different experiences have different impacts on dementia risk. Additionally, prior studies consider mediators in isolation, despite known associations between mediators which may impact indirect pathways from child abuse to dementia. Objectives To investigate whether potentially modifiable health and lifestyle factors mediate the association between child abuse and dementia. Methods We used data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing to investigate associations between child abuse and dementia (N:5,448). Indirect pathways through four mediator categories (education, health behaviours, mental health and cardiovascular health) were examined. We used regression modelling to estimate associations between child abuse, mediators and dementia, and causal mediation analysis using the g-formula to estimate the joint indirect effect through the mediators. Results Individuals who experienced child abuse had, on average, an 80% higher hazard of dementia, compared to those who did not (RTE HR:1.80, 95% CI:1.21-2.39). Mental health mediators showed strong associations with both child abuse and dementia. Evidence for other mediators was weaker. Education, health behaviours, mental health and cardiovascular health mediated approximately 18% of the association. Sensitivity analysis revealed that almost all this mediation occurred through mental health. Conclusions Child abuse was associated with higher risk of dementia. Joint mediation analysis suggested that education, health behaviours, cardiovascular health, and mental health accounted for a relatively small proportion of the observed association, with most mediation occurring through mental health. Future research must focus on other potential pathways from child abuse to dementia, including biological and social mechanisms.